Grading Break-Even Calculator

Plug in your comps and grading tier — get an honest verdict on whether a card is worth sending in versus selling raw.

Raw card value ($)

Expected graded 9 value ($)

Expected graded 10 value ($)

Probability of a 10 (%)

Grading tier

~65 business days · Up to $499

Verdict

Send it in.

Expected graded value$174.50

Grading fee + shipping-$35.00

Expected net after grading$139.50

Raw card value-$40.00

Expected profit vs. selling raw$99.50

Pre-grade the card with ID Grader first to estimate the probability of a 10 honestly.

How this calculator works

We compute the expected graded value as a weighted blend of the 9 comp and the 10 comp using your estimated probability of a 10. We subtract the tier fee and $10 for shipping + insurance. Then we compare to the raw sale price. Anything above $50 profit is a "send it in", anything negative is "sell raw", and everything in between is marginal once you factor in months of turnaround risk.

Get the 10 probability right

This is the single most-fudged number in the hobby. A card that looks perfect to the naked eye is usually a 30% 10 — not a 90%.Pre-grade with ID Grader to get an honest AI probability based on centering, corners, edges, and surface.